The Lead-Lag Report

The Lead-Lag Report

Closing Thoughts for the Week

When Volatility Wakes Up

Michael A. Gayed, CFA's avatar
Michael A. Gayed, CFA
Oct 12, 2025
∙ Paid

Markets finally received the wake-up call they had been ignoring. After a couple of weeks of relatively low volatility, a 25.68% spike in the VIX to 20.65 on Friday gave it to us –- its biggest one-day move in more than six months.¹ Stocks paid the price: The S&P 500 dropped about 2.4 %, the Dow lost 2.7 % and the Nasdaq was down 2.5 % on the week. The reversal erased gains during the week and breadth was worse, leaving small-caps still struggling.

Crypto joined the selloff. Bitcoin, which surged earlier in the week, stabilized around $114,000; Ethereum tumbled to near $3,800 (about a 7 % dive from peak levels) following leveraged liquidations.² The magnitude of the decline in digital assets underscored how vulnerable speculative positioning had become particularly as risk aversion spreads.

User's avatar

Continue reading this post for free, courtesy of Michael A. Gayed, CFA.

Or purchase a paid subscription.
© 2026 Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture