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The Calmest Signal in the Market Is a Warning
High yield OAS at 2.70 is historically tight. Tight spreads have led equity trouble more often than they have guaranteed safety.
Small Caps Are the Market's Levered Fed Bet
The Russell 2000 sits more than 25 percent above its 52-week low with the rate outlook unsettled. That is a position, not a forecast.
The Fed Just Told You It Might Hike. The Volatility Market Isn't Listening. TSPY Is Set Up For Both.
How a daily 0DTE covered call strategy on SPY turns a divided Fed, a compressed VIX, and a sticky-inflation regime into monthly income potential.
Energy Is Running the Inflation Print Again
Headline CPI at 3.4 percent is being dragged by an energy index up 16.3 percent. The Fed cuts into that anyway.