Newsletter
The 200-Day Is All That Is Left
Three of four intermarket signals remain Risk-Off as the US-Iran war disrupts global energy markets. The S&P 500 clings to its 200-day moving average — the last line of technical defense.
Michael A. Gayed, CFA
Newsletter
Last Call — Two Dinners in Miami Beach Tomorrow and Monday
Seats are filling up. If you’re at Future Proof, don’t miss this.
Global View
The Fed Is Trapped
Oil, Iran, and a Jobs Number That Changes Everything
Macro Observations
Oil Is Inflationary. Until It Becomes Deflationary.
The speed of the move in crude determines whether it feeds inflation expectations or destroys demand. History is unambiguous about which one precedes recession.
Newsletter
Lead-Lag Live at Future Proof — Record Your Episode On-Site
You’re already showing up. Now decide how you want to be seen.
High Yield Spotlight
This 10% Yielder Gives You Equity Upside With A Bond Floor
But The Premium And Leverage Deserve A Harder Look
Newsletter
The Small-Cap Rotation Is Real
Plus, A New Geopolitical Risk Reshuffles The Deck
Newsletter
Two Dinners in Miami Beach — You're Invited
Join us for dinner and drinks this Sunday and Monday during Future Proof
Newsletter
Let’s Connect at Future Proof Miami: Lead-Lag Media On Site
Key Highlights * Lead-Lag Media will be on site at Future Proof Miami as an official sponsor. * Stop by our booth (location TBA) for high-level strategy conversations, live demos, and Lead-Lag Live interview opportunities. * I’ll be hosting a small, invitation-only dinner with Xtrackers by DWS and
Newsletter
Carbon Markets Are at a Breaking Point — and Most Advisors Aren't Ready. Join Me Today at 2 PM EST.
CE-Credit Eligible Webinar Today
Leaders-Laggards
The Great Rotation Accelerates
Is This the Beginning of the End for U.S. Growth Dominance?
Weekly Signals
The Signals Saw It Coming
Three of four risk-off signals front-ran the geopolitical shock. The US-Iran conflict and resulting oil spike were the event risk that Utilities, Treasuries, and Gold had been pricing in for weeks.