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The Factor Investing Lie: Why Most Smart Beta Strategies Leak Risk — Live With Jason Hsu, July 16
CE Credit Webinar Tomorrow
Michael A. Gayed, CFA
CFA charterholder. Founder of Lead-Lag Media. Publisher of The Lead-Lag Report. 5x Dow & NAAIM Founders Award winner for research on intermarket signals.
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The Contradiction: Cool CPI, Hot Oil, Korean Bear
A cool June CPI told the Fed to stand down the same week an Iran blockade, a Korean bear, and IBM's worst day ever said otherwise.
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The Rotation Confirmed: Defensive Names Reclaim Leadership, EEM/XLK/Gold Unwind, Risk-Off Signal Accelerates
XLU +2.60% 4W ROC (Risk-Off Week 3); XLF +1.0σ Notable; EEM/XLK Flip to Laggard; JNK/GOVT +0.69% Confirms Credit Stable
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The Inflection Point Nobody Wants to Call
Signals are split evenly between offense and defense, pointing to a market at an inflection point.
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The Memory Behind the AI Trade: SK Hynix Comes to Nasdaq
What the dominant HBM supplier's Nasdaq debut means — and the new 2x daily long/short ETFs (SKUU, SKDD) that trade around it starting today.
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Iran Struck. Oil Spiked. Vol Refused to Panic.
Is the vol-selling machine still bigger than the geopolitical shock function?
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The Fear Gauge Reset — But the Composition Did Not (ATACX)
The headline says calm. The composition says otherwise.
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The Yen at a 52-Week Low and the Setup for a Carry Recompression (JOJO)
FXY closed at 56.95 on July 2 — just 55 cents above its 52-week low of 56.40. The VIX has collapsed. Credit is complacent. The three ingredients of a reverse-carry episode are on the table.
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The Fed Just Told You There Are No Rate Cuts Coming. Here’s How To Build Your Own.
How a Daily 0DTE Covered Call Strategy on the Nasdaq-100 Can Turn a Hawkish Fed and a Tech-Vol Spread Into a Daily Paycheck
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The Dollar's Structural Bid Is Fading
The Index Has Recovered. The Buyers Underneath It Have Not.
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The Warsh Regime Meets Day 130
A Fed that refuses to guide runs headlong into a Hormuz supply shock, and the market must price both at once.
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The Emerging Market Rally Has a Selection Problem
Korea Is Doing the Work. China, India, and Indonesia Are Not Along for the Ride