The Lead-Lag Report
  • Home
  • Weekly Signals
  • Macro Observations
  • Lead-Lag Live
  • High Yield Spotlight
Sign in Subscribe
Newsletter

Extended Labor Day Sale: Last Chance for 50% Off The Lead-Lag Report!

Award Winning Research Delivered Daily

Michael A. Gayed, CFA

Michael A. Gayed, CFA

03 Sep 2024 — 1 min read
Share

This post is for subscribers only

Subscribe now

Already have an account? Sign in

Read more

A 20% Yield From BlackRock With A Built-In Expiration Date

A 20% Yield From BlackRock With A Built-In Expiration Date

BlackRock Capital Allocation Term Trust (BCAT) pays nearly 20% on a 55/44 balanced portfolio, and because it is a term trust the discount has a floor. The catch is a distribution that has been shrinking for three straight years.

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA 06 Aug 2026
The Jobs Report Nobody Is Reading Right

The Jobs Report Nobody Is Reading Right

The BLS diffusion index printed 54.4 in June 2026, identical to the full-year 2007 average. Payroll breadth spent nine of twelve months of 2025 below 50. One industry, health care, is generating 86 percent of net US job growth. Every one of those facts is public. Almost nobody is quoting them.

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA 05 Aug 2026
The Gold Signal Equity Markets Refuse to Hear

The Gold Signal Equity Markets Refuse to Hear

Central banks bought 243.7 tonnes of gold in Q1 2026, only about 16 tonnes were officially reported. Real yields at 2.44 percent sit at 2008 highs while gold prints records. The old model of gold as anti-real-yield has stopped working. The buyers are not who the equity crowd thinks.

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA 05 Aug 2026
Anti-AI Webinar Starting in 30 Minutes

Starting in 30 Minutes: Anti-AI with Seth Cogswell

Anti-AI with Seth Cogswell. Live 2 PM ET. 1 CFP CE Credit.

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA 04 Aug 2026

The Lead-Lag Report

Four proprietary intermarket signals. Over 1,800 published, time-stamped calls. Research that flagged 2025's rotation into defensives — delivered to your inbox every week.

The Lead-Lag Report
  • Sign up
  • About
  • Leaders-Laggards
  • Global View
  • Closing Thoughts
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Service
Powered by Ghost