The Lead-Lag Report
  • Home
  • Weekly Signals
  • Macro Observations
  • Lead-Lag Live
  • High Yield Spotlight
Sign in Subscribe
Newsletter

🚨 LAST CHANCE: 60% OFF The Lead-Lag Report ENDS TONIGHT!

Final hours to secure your discount - expires midnight tonight (July 7th)

Michael A. Gayed, CFA

Michael A. Gayed, CFA

07 Jul 2025 — 1 min read
Share

This post is for subscribers only

Subscribe now

Already have an account? Sign in

Read more

You Can Buy This 11% Yielder For 78 Cents On The Dollar. If You Trust The Marks.

You Can Buy This 11% Yielder For 78 Cents On The Dollar. If You Trust The Marks.

OBDC's 22% discount to NAV is either the market's verdict on private credit, or a gift. It is probably some of both.

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA 22 Sep 2026
The Fed’s First Hike in Three Years, and Copper Went Right Back to Its Record

The Fed’s First Hike in Three Years, and Copper Went Right Back to Its Record

The Fed delivered its first hike in three years and the 10-year brushed 5%, the BoJ went to its highest rate since 1995 and the yen kept sliding, and copper ignored all of it, climbing back within 1.1% of its record while gold snapped its losing streak.

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA 22 Sep 2026
The Offense Lost Its Quorum

The Offense Lost Its Quorum

Treasury Rotation flips defensive, the lumber-gold gap blows out to nineteen points, and both remaining offensive readings lose conviction. The composite tilts risk-off at -18.

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA 22 Sep 2026
Tech Extremes as the Fed Hikes: XLK/SPY Hits +2.65 Sigma, Framework Streak Reaches Week 6, Credit Holds

Tech Extremes as the Fed Hikes: XLK/SPY Hits +2.65 Sigma, Framework Streak Reaches Week 6, Credit Holds

XLK/SPY at +2.65 sigma, XLU/SPY at -3.01 in Week 6 of the deeply broken framework, credit confirms risk appetite as the Fed hikes into tech strength

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA 20 Sep 2026

The Lead-Lag Report

Four proprietary intermarket signals. Over 1,800 published, time-stamped calls. Research that flagged 2025's rotation into defensives — delivered to your inbox every week.

The Lead-Lag Report
  • Sign up
  • About
  • Leaders-Laggards
  • Global View
  • Closing Thoughts
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Service
Powered by Ghost