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Michael A. Gayed, CFA

Michael A. Gayed, CFA

29 Jun 2023 — 1 min read
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Chart of gold and the 10-year real yield from January to October 2026

Fusion Gold Is a Headline Today and a Price Ceiling Someday

A start-up says it turned mercury into gold. The claim is unverified, the economics are unpublished, and gold was falling on real yields long before. A look at production, cost, scale and the lab-grown diamond analogy.

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA 26 Oct 2026
The Credit Signal: Utilities Just Flipped the JOJO.Index to Credit-Off

The Credit Signal: Utilities Just Flipped the JOJO.Index to Credit-Off

Weekly read on the JOJO.Index credit signal: it moved to credit-off as high yield spreads rose 80 bps from their 12-month low.

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA 26 Oct 2026
Line chart of the 20-day correlation between long Treasuries and the S&P 500, falling to negative this week

Treasuries Are a Hedge Again. Credit and Oil Explain Why.

Long Treasuries rose while stocks fell, credit spreads widened and Brent hit $116.72. The stock-bond correlation turned negative for the first time since July. What the move says about growth, inflation and the next two weeks.

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA 25 Oct 2026
Chart of the 2-year Treasury yield against the federal funds target in 2026

The Warsh Test, Round Two: Hiking Into a Bond Rally

The Fed promised one more hike. Oil, jobs, credit spreads and a sudden bond rally now argue for patience. What the dots, the 2-year yield and breakevens say heading into the Oct. 28 decision.

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA 25 Oct 2026

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