The Lead-Lag Report

The Lead-Lag Report

Home
Notes
Lead-Lag Live
Weekly Signals
Leaders-Laggards
Global View
High Yield Spotlight
Macro Observations
Closing Thoughts for the Week
Archive
Leaderboard
About
Solar’s Two-Speed Rally: Utility-Scale Strength Masks Residential Fragility
Early-2026 leadership in solar equities reflects record utility-scale build plans and policy-driven timing incentives, even as residential demand…
15 hrs ago • Michael A. Gayed, CFA
UTF: Leveraged Infrastructure at the Crossroads of Grid Expansion and Capital Costs
How the Cohen & Steers Infrastructure Fund’s closed-end structure, leverage profile, and discount dynamics shape outcomes in a rate-sensitive…
23 hrs ago • Michael A. Gayed, CFA
Kai Wu: The AI Trade Is Entering Its Most Misunderstood Phase
The buildout boom may be peaking. The real opportunity could lie in the companies quietly turning AI into measurable productivity gains while the market…
Feb 24 • Michael A. Gayed, CFA
21:45
The Case for Regulatory Tailwinds Over Traditional Fiscal Stimulus — FMKT as a Structural Play
Key Highlights
Feb 23
The Resilience of the U.S. Consumer Is Showing Cracks in the Credit Data
Retail sales remain stable, but rising delinquencies and elevated borrowing costs suggest repayment capacity is weakening at the margin.
Feb 23 • Michael A. Gayed, CFA
When the AI Boom Becomes a Credit Event
Why Duration Could Win the Next Cycle
Feb 23 • Michael A. Gayed, CFA
Three Rate Cuts, Small Caps, and the 9% Income Trade
If inflation is already at 2% beneath the surface, the Fed is behind the curve — and markets are mispriced for what comes next.
Feb 23 • Michael A. Gayed, CFA
32:46
From AI Scare Trade to Security Comeback
Extreme software rotation drove cyber to five-year valuation lows — even as demand and margins strengthened.
Feb 22 • Michael A. Gayed, CFA
Commodities, Rates, and the Repricing of Scarcity
A deep dive with Will Rhind on platinum’s resurgence, gold’s strength, and what it means for portfolio construction.
Feb 22 • Michael A. Gayed, CFA
Hype vs. Deployment: Derek Yan on Humanoid Robotics, KOID ETF, and the Global AI Arms Race
Lead-Lag Live Recap
Feb 21 • Michael A. Gayed, CFA
19:26
Relief Rally, Fiscal Shadow
Can risk assets celebrate lower tariff pressure if the bond market insists on repricing fiscal risk?
Feb 21 • Michael A. Gayed, CFA
YYY: The Income Illusion or the Ultimate Credit Barometer?
Why a high-yield CEF basket can amplify both income and instability.
Feb 20 • Michael A. Gayed, CFA
© 2026 Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture